I bet you’re wondering what your odds of victory in the playoffs are!
I found the mathematical formulas that a Vegas Sports Book uses to predict baseball games and guess what? We keep all the necessary inputs to use their formulas! This means we can find out find out how a Vegas sportsbook would handicap each one of our games! And I’ve done exactly that!
After doing this for a few years I’ve found that Vegas is right more than they are wrong, but they are wrong plenty. The really interesting part is that they rarely give the underdog a higher chance of winning, but when they do, they usually get it right.
First match up . . .
#8 Like a Botch vs. #9 Ball Busters
Vegas gives Like a Botch a 60% chance of victory. A close prediction as you’d expect between two teams only one seed apart
Next up . . .
#4 Boccin in the Free World vs. #13 Amanda & Danielle
Vegas gives Boccin in the Free World a 88% chance of victory. Vegas seems to like Boccin in the Free World, they are sure of the outcome, if they saw Amanda play last week like I did they might not be so sure.
Next up . . .
#5 Gone Fishing vs. #12 Betty & Bo
Vegas gives Gone Fishing an 83% chance of victory. How do these percentages translate into betting? I should look that up next time.
Next up . . .
#7 Glory Rollers vs. #10 Buzzed Saws
Vegas gives Glory Rollers a 67% chance of victory. Not a lot of close outcomes this year. Vegas is feeling sure of itself.
Next up . . .
#3 Elite Ball Handlers vs. #14 Green Machine
Vegas gives Elite Ball Handlers a 66% chance of victory. The second lowest margin of victory for the highest seed. Interesting. Vegas likes something about Green Machine!
Finally we’ve got . . .
#6 Thunderballz vs. #11 My Drinking Team Has a Bocce Problem
Vegas is giving Thunderballz a 93% chance of victory. Vegas loves Thunderballz! But then again who doesn’t.
Good luck on Wednesday everybody!
